Havana mover. Photo: Juan Suarez
Havana mover. Photo: Juan Suarez

HAVANA TIMES — The Cuban government cut its prediction for economic growth in 2014 to only 1.4% down from 2.2 %, reported dpa news on Monday.

The figures reflect a “higher than expected slowdown,” Economy Minister Adel Yzquierdo told a meeting of the Council of Ministers (cabinet) on Saturday, noted the official Granma newspaper.

The forecast for the first half of the year is expected to be an even lower growth of 0.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), according to new estimates.

To reach the new projected annual growth of 1.4 percent for 2014 “greater dynamism of the economy will be needed in the second half of the year,” said Yzquierdo.

In recent years the Cuban government attempts to revive its economy with a slight opening of the market. In late March, the government of Raul Castro approved a new foreign investment law that seeks to attract capital inflows with tax incentives, among other measures. The law is supposed to take effect on June 28.

Havana hopes its economic liberalization in the coming years will allow for economic growth to reach between five and seven percent, according to plans presented during the discussions of the new investment law back in January.

10 thoughts on “Cuba Cuts Growth Forecast to 1.4%

  • 1982
    Cuba GPD per capita (current US$) in 1982 was $2,108
    Chile GPD per capita (current US$) in 1982 was $2,108
    Cuba GPD per capita (current US$) in 2011 was $ 6,051
    Chile GPD per capita (current US$) in 2011 was $14,512

  • Just to give you another insight, we known the US owned a lot more property in Cuba than in Vietnam, but how much US-owned property was there in China before Mao’s takeover of mainland China?

  • True, the conditions on Vietnam were different. However, the conditions which triggered the embargo were also different. The US imposed the embargo on Cuba in retaliation to Castro seizing all US owned property in Cuba, which was a significant amount of money. There was very little US owned property in Vietnam.

  • At the time, less than 20 years after successfully forcing the Americans to leave, these conditions did not seem any less palatable to the Vietnamese government than the conditions set forth under Helms Burton seem to the Castros. Dani, what is so hard about allowing an independent media, releasing political prisoners, and holding a free and open election? The Castros are ‘leaving’ in less than 5 years anyway. They have ruled for more than 55 years! I am arguing that the conditions for the Castros are no more imposing than what the Vietnamese.

  • However the conditions were very different. Vietnam was only asked to help with the Missing in Action and to be a bit more tolerant with religious believers. Nothing like the demands made on Cuba.

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